Die USA werden in 50 Tagen – also rund um den 1. September – ihr 500-%-Gesetz in Kraft setzen. Wobei Trump – wohl für die Anfangsphase – nur 100 % verhängen will (wenn die betroffenen Staaten sich unwillig zeigen, wird wohl der Prozentsatz erhöht werden).
Der Kongress wird die Formulierung „bis zu 500 %“ verwenden – und nicht 500 % als Fixum festschreiben.
| The US 500% (or initially 100%) Secondary Sanctions Act “Sanctions Russia Act of 2025” / H.R. 2548 / S. 1241 | ||
| Desired Effect US + EU /= Western economies should be able to prepare for the coming economic problems related to US sanctions. Severe global disruptions are expected in the energy and general raw materials sectors, because Russia – as an energy and raw materials supplier – is to be completely isolated from the world market under Section 8 of the law (no more payments with Russia possible), thus no more business. | Undesired Effect All other economies – including China and India – should be able to prepare for the coming economic problems related to US sanctions. Severe global disruptions are expected in the energy and general raw materials sectors, because Russia – as an energy and raw materials supplier – is to be completely isolated from the world market under Section 8 of the law (no more payments with Russia possible), thus no more business. | |
| Neither China nor India can afford to give in to the US’s 500% (or, for now, 100%) blackmail – whoever gives in will lose trust both in their home continent of Asia and throughout the Global South. This would make the states with which the two countries maintain intensive economic and political ties (China Commonwealth, India-BIMSTEC, etc.) doubt whether they can trust India’s and China’s strength. Therefore, a capitulation by India and China is highly unlikely. | ||
| Desired Effect In the next 50 days, US + EU / NATO arms deliveries are intended to enable Ukraine to launch massive long-range attacks against Russia (especially Moscow) (= the US is launching these attacks de facto and de jure – this would not be possible WITHOUT US satellite technology) in order to bomb Russia „to the negotiating table.“ | Desired Effect In the next 50 days, the pressure of the 500/100% Act is intended to put massive pressure on the countries affected by the Act – especially China and India – and exert maximum political and economic pressure on Russia in order to force Russia „to the negotiating table.“ | |
| xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx | xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx-xxxxx | |
| Desired effect: The US + EU/NATO + Israel have 50 days to „calm“ /= bring under control the Middle East situation, which is still completely out of control of the US EUNATO + Israel. Iran continues to operate entirely „on its own terms“ and has in no way subordinated itself to Western directives, AND thus continues to pose a major military threat to Israel – and the situation in the Middle East. The West is currently in no way in a position to exert any real power against Iran – and with regard to the entire Middle East – = something the West cannot and must not accept. Whether new attacks will be launched against Iran – or other measures will be taken – remains to be seen. | ||
Verwerfungen an den globalen Energie- und Rohstoff- Märkten.
Trump fürchtet – berechtigt – heftige Verwerfungen an den globalen Energie- und Rohstoff- Märkten.
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Russland ist einer DER wichtigsten globalen Player im globalen Energie- und Rohstoff- Handel. Wenn nun Russland vom Westen der Handel de facto verboten wird (siehe Sektion 8 des kommenden Gesetzes), dann ergeben sich heftige Verwerfungen.
Es ist nicht zu erwarten, dass Russland den Handel mit Rohstoffen aufgeben wird – es wird ihn weiterführen – über die BRICS- Mechanismen, BRICS- Pay und so weiter.
Diese Sanktion wird dazu führen, dass die Umsetzung der BRICS- Mechanismen in den globalen Handels- Strukturen einen „Boost“ bekommen, und so die Umstellungs- Abläufe – durch den Druck des US- Gesetzes – noch schneller umgesetzt werden.
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Das kann für die Londoner Rohstoff- Börse heftig werden.
De facto werden dann keine RUS- Rohstoffe mehr über West- Rohstoff- Börsen – hier vor allem London -gehandelt – aber – im Rahmen von BRICS weiter gehandelt werden. Die RUS- Mengen werden dann wohl auf die St. Petersburger Börse (SPIMEX), oder Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) und Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) verschoben. <<< Ein MEGA- Shift, ist hier zu erwarten. London darf dann in die USA kabeln „Huston (äähhh Washington) wir haben ein Problem“ (und zwar kein kleines).