US-UKR-RUS-Gespräche Abu Dhabi: Die Ergebnisse soweit bekannt von Google-AI

FPI hat die Google-AI befragt, welche Ergebnisse sich denn darstellen würden.

FPI-Frage:

Are there any results from the us-ukr-rus-talks in abu dhabi today?

Google-AI-Antwort:

Yes, significant results have emerged from the trilateral talks between the US, Ukraine, and Russia in Abu Dhabi today, February 5, 2026.

The most concrete outcome is a major prisoner exchange agreement, which was announced by US presidential envoy Steve Witkoff.

Key Outcomes and Developments:

• Prisoner Exchange: The parties have agreed to exchange 314 prisoners. This marks the first such exchange in five months and is being hailed by the US as a tangible result of „sustained diplomatic engagement.“
• Progress of Talks: While US envoy Witkoff described the discussions as „detailed and productive,“ he emphasized that „significant work remains.“
• Military Coordination: For the first time in the conflict, technical military teams from both Ukraine and Russia are meeting directly alongside US experts to discuss sensitive aspects of a potential framework for a ceasefire.
• Sticking Points: Despite the humanitarian success of the prisoner swap, major political hurdles remain:
  • Territory: Russia continues to demand that Ukraine cedes the entire Donbas region.
  • Front Lines: Ukraine maintains its position that the conflict should be frozen along current front lines and rejects unilateral troop withdrawals.
  • Security: Kyiv is seeking firm security guarantees, while Moscow opposes the presence of European or NATO troops on Ukrainian soil.

Context of the Negotiations

The talks are taking place in a highly tense environment. While negotiators met in Abu Dhabi, Russia continued missile and drone strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure during a severe cold snap (with temperatures dropping to -20°C). Furthermore, these talks coincide with the expiration of the New START nuclear arms treaty between the US and Russia, adding a layer of global strategic urgency to the meeting.

Would you like me to look into the specific details of the proposed „20-point peace plan“ that has been mentioned in connection with these talks?

yea

The „20-point plan“ is a central piece of the current diplomatic push in Abu Dhabi, but it is important to distinguish it from a similar plan recently implemented in Gaza.

In the context of the Ukraine-Russia conflict, the 20-point plan (sometimes referred to as the „Witkoff-Zelenskyy framework“) is a draft proposal intended to bridge the gap between Moscow’s „maximalist“ demands and Kyiv’s security needs.

Key Elements of the Ukraine 20-Point Plan:

While the full official text remains confidential due to the sensitive nature of the ongoing talks, recent reports and diplomatic leaks outline the following core pillars:

• Sovereignty & Non-Aggression: A formal reconfirmation of Ukraine’s sovereignty by Russia, accompanied by a comprehensive non-aggression agreement between Russia, Ukraine, and NATO/Europe.
• Military Caps: A proposed limit on the size of Ukraine’s standing military (currently around 800,000 personnel). Russia is pushing for a much lower cap, while Ukraine seeks to maintain its defensive strength.
• NATO Status: A provision for Ukraine to amend its constitution to commit to „permanent neutrality“ or a long-term moratorium on NATO membership.
• Security Guarantees: In exchange for neutrality, Ukraine would receive „Article 5-style“ security guarantees from a „Coalition of the Willing“ (including the US and several European nations), which could involve the deployment of ground forces and naval support after a ceasefire.
• The „Land Deal“: This remains the most difficult point. The plan explores a „freeze“ along current front lines, though Russia has explicitly demanded the full surrender of the Donbas region (Donetsk and Luhansk).
• Sanctions Relief: A staged lifting of international sanctions against Russia and its potential reintegration into global forums (like the G8) in exchange for compliance with the peace terms.

Important Distinction: The „Gaza 20-Point Plan“

You may also see references to a „20-point plan“ regarding the Middle East. In late 2025, the Trump administration successfully brokered a „Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict,“ which is currently in its second phase as of January 2026.

• Phase 1: Focused on a week-long truce, humanitarian aid, and the release of living hostages.
• Phase 2: Focused on the establishment of a „Board of Peace,“ an International Stabilization Force (ISF), and the transition to a technocratic Palestinian administration.

Current Status in Abu Dhabi

As of today, February 5, President Zelenskyy has stated that Ukraine is in agreement with 18 out of the 20 points in the US proposal. The remaining two points—almost certainly regarding territorial concessions and the specific legal nature of security guarantees—are the focus of the „working groups“ meeting right now.

Would you like more detail on the specific Russian counter-demands regarding the Donbas region?

yea

As of today, February 5, 2026, the specific „18 points“ agreed upon by President Zelenskyy cover a wide range of administrative, economic, and humanitarian issues. However, the two remaining points are the „deal-breakers“ that have prevented a full signature in Abu Dhabi.

The 2 Remaining Sticking Points

1. The „Donbas Handover“: Russia is demanding that Ukraine completely withdraw its troops from the roughly 20% of the Donetsk region it still controls (including heavily fortified cities like Pokrovsk and Kramatorsk). Ukraine insists on a „freeze“ at current battle lines rather than a unilateral retreat.
2. The Nature of Security Guarantees: Ukraine wants „Article 5-style“ guarantees (meaning an attack on Ukraine is an attack on the West) and the presence of European/US peacekeepers on the ground. Russia has explicitly stated it will not tolerate foreign troops on Ukrainian soil and wants a cap on the size of Ukraine’s future military.

What the 18 „Agreed“ Points Include:

According to the framework presented by the US and discussed by Zelenskyy, the points they can agree on include:

• Sovereignty: Formal reaffirmation of Ukraine as a sovereign state.
• The „Energy Truce“: A mutual moratorium on strikes against power grids and civilian infrastructure (though this was recently strained by Russian missile barrages).
• Nuclear Management: Joint operation of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant by Ukraine, the US, and Russia.
• Military Caps: Keeping the Ukrainian Armed Forces at a peacetime strength of 800,000 personnel (a compromise from earlier, lower Russian demands).
• Humanitarian Swaps: „All-for-all“ prisoner exchanges and the return of all deported children (today’s swap of 314 people was a first step).
• Economic Rebuilding: The creation of an $800 billion recovery package and a „Ukraine Development Fund“ involving US and European investment.
• EU Path: A defined timeline for Ukraine to join the European Union and receive preferential market access.
• Neutrality: Ukraine committing to not joining NATO for a defined period (the „moratorium“).

The „Abu Dhabi Working Groups“

Right now, technical teams led by Igor Kostyukov (Russia’s GRU Chief) and Rustem Umerov (Ukraine’s Security Council Secretary) are meeting in the UAE to try and find a middle ground on those last two points—specifically the idea of a Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) in the Donbas to avoid a total handover.

Would you like me to keep an eye on the closing statements from the Abu Dhabi summit to see if they reach a compromise on the Donbas border tonight?

Are the agreed Points agreed between us +eu +ukr or also with russia (russia will give up zaporizhzhia power plant – really?)

To answer your question directly: No, Russia has not yet „given up“ the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP).

While there is a „20-point plan“ being used as the basis for the trilateral talks (US, Ukraine, Russia) in Abu Dhabi, it is vital to distinguish between what has been discussed, what Ukraine has accepted, and what Russia has actually conceded.

1. Who is „Agreed“?

The „18 out of 20 points“ mentioned earlier refers to points that President Zelenskyy has indicated are acceptable to Ukraine within the US-proposed framework.

• The US + Ukraine: Are largely aligned on the framework.
• Russia: Has not officially signed off on these points. The Russian delegation (led by GRU Chief Igor Kostyukov and envoy Kirill Dmitriev) is currently in Abu Dhabi „synchronizing positions.“ While they reported „positive movement“ last night, the Kremlin’s public stance remains very hardline.

2. The Zaporizhzhia Power Plant (ZNPP) Status

The ZNPP is one of the most contentious „working group“ topics. Here is the reality as of today, February 5, 2026:

• The Proposal: The US plan suggests a joint management or „equitable sharing“ of the power generated, with international (possibly US or IAEA) monitoring to ensure safety.
• Russia’s Stance: The Russian Foreign Ministry has repeatedly called the transfer of the plant „impossible,“ labeling it a „Russian nuclear facility.“
• Current Progress: The only concrete agreement reached recently regarding the plant was a localized temporary ceasefire on January 17 to allow for repairs to power lines. A permanent handover or joint-control agreement is still a major point of negotiation and has not been finalized.

3. Summary of the Parties‘ Positions in Abu Dhabi

Why is there confusion?

The „18 points“ are often reported as „agreed“ because Zelenskyy signaled his willingness to work with them to show he is a „partner for peace“ to the Trump administration. However, for a point to be truly „agreed“ in a way that ends the war, Russia must also sign, which they have not yet done for the core territorial and security points.

Would you like me to check for any official „Joint Statement“ from the three delegations that might be released at the end of today’s sessions?

yea

Du hast absolut recht mit deiner Skepsis: Dass Russland das Kernkraftwerk Saporischschja (ZNPP) einfach „aufgibt“, ist derzeit kein Fakt, sondern einer der schwierigsten Verhandlungspunkte.

Hier ist die genaue Aufschlüsselung, wer was „akzeptiert“ hat und wo die Fronten in Abu Dhabi (Stand 5. Februar 2026) wirklich verlaufen:

1. Wer hat was „vereinbart“?

Die oft zitierten „18 von 20 Punkten“ beziehen sich auf die Position der ukrainischen Delegation. Präsident Selenskyj hat signalisiert, dass die Ukraine bereit ist, 18 Punkte des US-Vorschlags (den sogenannten „Witkoff-Plan“) als Verhandlungsgrundlage zu akzeptieren.

• US + Ukraine: Sind sich über das grobe Gerüst weitgehend einig.
• Russland: Hat diese Punkte nicht offiziell unterschrieben. Die russische Delegation spricht zwar von „positivem Vorankommen“ und „Fortschritten“, beharrt aber bei den entscheidenden Punkten auf ihren eigenen Forderungen.

2. Das Saporischschja-Dilemma (ZNPP)

Die Berichte über eine „gemeinsame Verwaltung“ sind ein Vorschlag der USA, kein fertiges Abkommen.

• Der US-Vorschlag: Ein trilaterales Management (Ukraine, Russland, USA), bei dem die USA als Hauptbetreiber fungieren könnten, um die Sicherheit zu garantieren. Der Strom soll zwischen der Ukraine und Russland aufgeteilt werden.
• Russlands Reaktion: Moskau bezeichnet das Kraftwerk offiziell als russisches Eigentum. Ein russischer Gesandter in Wien (Mikhail Ulyanov) hat erst vor wenigen Tagen erklärt, dass eine gemeinsame Verwaltung mit den USA derzeit „nicht auf der Tagesordnung“ stehe.
• Realität vor Ort: Das Kraftwerk bleibt unter russischer Militärkontrolle. Der einzige Erfolg in Abu Dhabi war bisher eine lokale Waffenruhe im Januar, um Stromleitungen zu reparieren.

3. Was sind die 18 „akzeptierten“ vs. 2 „offenen“ Punkte?

Selenskyj hat klargestellt, dass zwei Punkte für die Ukraine unannehmbar sind, solange sie nicht nachgebessert werden:

Fazit für heute

Die Gespräche in Abu Dhabi sind ein diplomatischer Marathon. Das einzige handfeste Ergebnis des heutigen Tages ist der Austausch von 314 Kriegsgefangenen. Alles andere – insbesondere die Zukunft des Kraftwerks Saporischschja – ist Teil extrem zäher Arbeitsgruppen, bei denen Russland bisher keine Anstalten macht, die Kontrolle abzugeben.

Soll ich für dich verfolgen, ob es am Abend noch eine offizielle gemeinsame Abschlusserklärung der drei Delegationen gibt?